Predicting Election Night Margin 3
Posted on Thu 01 June 2023 in Election Modeling • Tagged with python, mixed effects, elections, S3
The below graphic, on the left, shows how counties report in the 2022 Georgia Senate election. The order of counties reporting tends to skews election results. If liberal counties report early, the phenomenon is sometimes referred to as the right hook. This notoriously happens in Florida, as early results make …
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